Application of sma method and ahp to predict the level of tidal flood vulnerability in Tegal City
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Abstract
This study examines the application of the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) methods to predict tidal flood vulnerability in Tegal City. The objective is to develop a more accurate prediction method for tidal flood vulnerability. The methods used are a combination of SMA and AHP. The results indicate that this combination is effective in producing more accurate predictions compared to conventional methods. Villages such as Muarareja, Tegalsari, Mintaragen, and Panggung have been identified as highly vulnerable and require more intensive mitigation. The implications highlight the importance of a multi-method approach to understanding complex phenomena like flood vulnerability. For future research, it is recommended to integrate real-time weather data and consider socio-economic factors to enhance accuracy and relevance in disaster mitigation. The findings are expected to assist in better urban planning and resource allocation, as well as improve community resilience against tidal flood disasters.
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