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Ryan Fahlepy Sinaga
M Azhar Prabukusumo
Jonson Manurung

Abstract

Indonesia's food security depends on the availability and distribution of rice as a staple food. To support data-driven policies, this study applies K-Means Clustering and Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering (HAC) to cluster 38 provinces based on rice consumption and production patterns. Data is sourced from BPS with attributes: rice consumption per capita, rice production, rice price per kg, and population. These variables were chosen because they reflect the balance of demand, supply, affordability, and food needs. The optimal number of clusters was determined as three, based on Elbow Method and Silhouette Score for K-Means, and Dendrogram and Cophenetic Correlation Coefficient (CCC) for HAC. The clustering results identify regional characteristics related to food security and support the formulation of more targeted rice distribution policies. This study also compares the effectiveness of both methods in supporting equitable and sustainable food distribution strategies.

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How to Cite
Sinaga, R. F., M Azhar Prabukusumo, & Manurung, J. (2025). Comparison of k-means clustering with hierarchical agglomerative clustering for the analysis of food security of rice sector in Indonesia. Journal of Intelligent Decision Support System (IDSS), 8(1), 22-33. https://doi.org/10.35335/idss.v8i1.290
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